4. Kate has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function U(x1,x2) = m 2. She currently has 52025. a. Would she be willing to undertake a gamble that involves a gain $2875 with probability + and a loss of $1125 with probability ? Show your work and explain your answer. 5. Would she be willing to undertake a gamble that involves a gain $2599 with probability - and a loss of $800 with probability ? Show your work and explain your answer.

4. Kate has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function U(x1,x2) = m 2. She currently has 52025. a. Would she be willing to undertake a gamble that involves a gain $2875 with probability + and a loss of $1125 with probability ? Show your work and explain your answer. 5. Would she be willing to undertake a gamble that involves a gain $2599 with probability - and a loss of $800 with probability ? Show your work and explain your answer.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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2. Suppose you asked the following question to Person A and Person B: "How much are you willing to pay to avoid the following fair gamble – win $100 with 50% chance and lose $100 with 50% chance (thus, Variance is equal to 10,000)?" A's answer- $2 B's answer-$10 Assuming that A and B have CARA utility function, a) compute their absolute risk aversion coefficients (approximately) and b) compute their risk premiums for avoiding the following new gamble - win $500 with 50% chance and lose $500 with 50% chance.
1. Now, imagine that Port Chester decides to crack down on motorists who park illegally by increasing the number of officers issuing parking tickets (thus, raising the probability of a ticket). If the cost of a ticket is $100, and the opportunity cost for the average driver of searching for parking is $12, which of the following probabilities would make the average person stop parking illegally? Assume that people will not park illegally if the expected value of doing so is negative. Check all that apply. A. 9% B. 18% C. 17% D. 10% 2. Alternatively, the city could hold the number of officers constant and discourage parking violations by raising the fine for illegal parking. Suppose the average probability of getting caught for parking illegally is currently 10% citywide, and the average opportunity cost of parking is, again, $12. The fine that would make the average person indifferent between searching for parking and parking illegally is ____ , assuming that people will not…
2. Alice believes that her car would cost £12500 to replace if it was stolen or damaged. Based on crime statistics for the area she lives in, she believes that the probability of her car being stolen or damaged is 0.15. (i) Alice's utility function is given by U(w) = ln(w) for w > 0 and she as £35000 in the bank. Calculate how much Alice would be prepared to pay (in a single payment) to insure her car against theft or damage (ii) Repeat the calculation in the previous part but now assume Alice has £500000 in the bank.
6. An analyst is assessing a DM's utility function for profit Y, in dollars, ranging from -400,000 to 2,000,000, and wishes to use a function: U(Y) : = Y+400,000 B 2,400,000 9 -400,000 ≤ y ≤ 2,000,000 She determined that the DM is indifferent between Alternative A and Alternative B: Alternative A: Probability 0.5 of making profit $2,000,000 Probability 0.5 of making profit -$400,000 Alternative B: Probability 1.0 of making profit of $800,000 (a) What would you use for the DM's utility function? Show your work. 6 (b) Why could you use Expected Value when analyzing problems involving profit for this DM?
5. You are a risk-averse decision maker with a utility function U(1) = VI, where I denotes your income. Your income is $100,000 (thus, I=100). However, there is a 0.2 chance that you will have an accident that results in a loss of $10,000. Now, suppose you have the opportunity to purchase an insurance policy that fully insures you against this loss (i.e., that pays you $10,000 in the event that you incur the loss). What is the highest premium that you would be willing to pay for this insurance policy?
3. Further questions Now, imagine that Port Chester decides to crack down on motorists who park illegally by increasing the number of officers issuing parking tickets (thus, raising the probability of a ticket). If the cost of a ticket is $100, and the opportunity cost for the average driver of searching for parking is $12, which of the following probabilities would make the average person stop parking illegally? Assume that people will not park illegally if the expected value of doing so is negative. Check all that apply. 13% 21% 9% 10% Alternatively, the city could hold the number of officers constant and discourage parking violations by raising the fine for illegal parking. Suppose the average probability of getting caught for parking illegally is currently 10% citywide, and the average opportunity cost of parking is, again, $12. The fine that would make the average person indifferent between searching for parking and parking illegally is 5 park illegally if the expected value of…
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5. Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index u(x) = √√x. There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain. b) What would be the highest price (premium) that she would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully insures her against the flooding damage?
Microeconomics Wilfred’s expected utility function is px1^0.5+(1−p)x2^0.5, where p is the probability that he consumes x1 and 1 - p is the probability that he consumes x2. Wilfred is offered a choice between getting a sure payment of $Z or a lottery in which he receives $2500 with probability p = 0.4 and $3700 with probability 1 - p. Wilfred will choose the sure payment if Z > CE and the lottery if Z < CE, where the value of CE is equal to ___ (please round your final answer to two decimal places if necessary)
Gary likes to gamble. Donna offers to bet him $31 on the outcome of a boat race. If Gary’s boat wins, Donna would give him $31. If Gary’s boat does not win, Gary would give her $31. Gary’s utility function is p1x^21+p2x^22, where p1 and p2 are the probabilities of events 1 and 2 and where x1 and x2 are his wealth if events 1 and 2 occur respectively. Gary’s total wealth is currently only $80 and he believes that the probability that he will win the race is 0.3. Which of the following is correct? (please submit the number corresponding to the correct answer). Taking the bet would reduce his expected utility. Taking the bet would leave his expected utility unchanged. Taking the bet would increase his expected utility. There is not enough information to determine whether taking the bet would increase or decrease his expected utility. The information given in the problem is self-contradictory.
Max is thinking of starting a pinball palace near a large Melbourne university. His utility is given by u(W) = 1 - (5,000/W), where W is his wealth. Max's total wealth is $15,000. With probability p = 0.7 the palace will succeed and Max's wealth will grow from $15,000 to $x. With probability 1 - p the palace will be a failure and he’ll lose $10,000, so that his wealth will be just $5,000. What is the smallest value of x that would be sufficient to make Max want to invest in the pinball palace rather than have a wealth of $15,000 with certainty? (Please round your final answer to the whole dollar, if necessary)
3) Consider the following two gambles: Option A: you win $50 with probability 0.75 and lose $100 with probability 0.25. Option B: You win $100 with probability 0.25 and lose $50 with probability 0.75. Which option is preferred according to expected utility if i) You use an exponential utility function with R=5 ii) You use an exponential utility function with R=10 iii) You use an exponential utility function with R=100 iv) You use an exponential utility function with R=1000 v) You use an exponential utility function with R=10,000