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- You play a game by drawing a card from a standard deck then replacing the drawn card. If you draw a king or a queen, you win Php 500. If you draw an ace, you win Php 800. However, you lose Php 650 for anything else. • If you continue to play the game, how much do you expect to win or lose in the game? • Is this a fair game? Why or why not?2 Scenario Your client, InsureCorp, is an insurance company considering launching an 'income insur- ance' product in the nation of Motherland. Income insurance is a product that fully insures a household against changes in income caused by a major injury or illness. At present, no businesses are selling income insurance products in Motherland. Initial market research suggests that there are 15,000 households in Motherland interested in purchasing income insurance. Your client expects that the fixed cost of launching the income insurance product will be $25,000,000 per year, and that each policy issued to a customer will cost the company an additional $2,000 in sales commissions. 2.1 Your task Your client wants you to analyse the potential market for income insurance and report on the following: What is the maximum price the company can charge a household for an income insurance policy? What is the expected profit (or loss) for the company if it becomes a monopoly provider of income…9) A risk-neutral individual with current wealth w has already decided investing all his wealth in a project that has two possible net wealth outcomes wn and we (with probabilities pr and pe, respectively) where wr > w > we > 0, PrPe E (0,1), and pr + Pe = 1. Before he invests, he realises that there is a source of information that tells the individual which outcome will be realised with truth, what is the value of this information for the individual? a) pe(@ – w;), b) (Pn – Pe)w, c) Phwn + PeWe – w, d) Pr(w – wn).
- 1 . Individual Problems 17-2 You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $3 million to $4 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $2,250,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is . Given that this is , you play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is . (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)FINITE REPETITION Alice and Bob are playing a repeated game in which a certain stage game is played twice in succession. All behaviour in the first period is observed by both players before the second period commences. In the stage game, Alice has 3 pure strategies and Bob has 2 pure strategies. How many pure strategies does Bob have in the repeated game? (If necessary, use a calculator to compute this number.) 2 6 2187 3 36 64 7 729 128 216 Please do fast ASAP fastA2) which is not q
- FINITE REPETITION Alice and Bob are playing a repeated game in which a certain stage game is played twice in succession. All behaviour in the first period is observed by both players before the second period commences. In the stage game, Alice has 4 pure strategies and Bob has 3 pure strategies. How many pure strategies does Bob have in the repeated game? (If necessary, use a calculator to compute this number.) 1728 531441 12 1594323 67108864 16777216 20736 4 3 132 (a) Consider the St. Petersburg Paradox problem first discussed by Daniel Bernoulli in 1738. The game consists of tossing a coin. The player gets a payoff of 2" where n is the number of times the coin is tossed to get the first head. So, if the sequence of tosses yields TTTH, you get a payoff of 2¹; this payoff occurs with probability. Compute the expected value of playing this game. (b) Assume that utility U is a function of wealth X given by U = X5 and that X= $1,000,000. In this part of the question, assume that the game ends if the first head has not occurred after 40 tosses of the coin. In that case, the payoff is 240 and the game is over. What is the expected payout of this game? (c) What is the most you would pay to play the game if you require that your expected utility after playing the game must be equal to your utility before playing the game? Use the Goal Seek function (found in Data, What-If Analysis) in Excel.D3) What is the misconception of the risk-reward relationship? What is the role and the ultimate goal of the decision maker? Examples, implications.
- 13. Which ones correctSuppose that the buyers do not know the quality of any particular bicycle for sale, but the sellers do knowthe quality of the bike they sell. The price at which a bike is traded is determined by demand and supply.Each buyer wants at most one bicycle.(ii) Assuming that each buyer purchases a bike only if its expected quality is higher than the price,and each seller is willing to sell their bike only if the price exceeds their valuation, what is theequilibrium outcome in this market?1. Individual Problems 18-1 You hold an oral, or English, auction among three bidders. You estimate that each bidder has a value of either $88 or $110 for the item, and you attach probabilities to each value of 50%. The winning bidder must pay a price equal to the second highest bid. The following table lists the eight possible combinations for bidder values. Each combination is equally likely to occur. On the following table, indicate the price paid by the winning bidder. Combination Number Bidder 1 Value Bidder 2 Value Bidder 3 Value Probability Price ($) ($) ($) 1 $88 $88 $88 0.125 2 $88 $88 $110 0.125 3 $88 $110 $88 0.125 4 $88 $110 $110 0.125 5 $110 $88 $88 0.125 6 $110 $88 $110 0.125 7 $110 $110 $88 0.125 8 $110 $110 $110 0.125 The expected price paid is . Suppose that bidders 1 and 2 collude and would be willing to bid up to a maximum of their values, but the two bidders…