Abigail is a consumer whose utility is a function of her total wealth W.            u(W ) = log W. Suppose that Abigail begins with initial wealth of A = 100 but will suffer a serious illness with probability π = 0.15 which will require extensive treatment costing L = 80. To hedge against this risk, Abigail considers buying a health insurance policy. She may buy as much insurance I as she wishes at a cost of p per dollar of coverage, so her payoffs in each state are     Healthy Ill Probability 0.85 0.15 No Insurance 100 20 Claim 0 I Premium −pI −pI   a) Now suppose that the insurance company raises premiums to p = 0.2 so that they are no longer actuarially fair. Find Abigail’s expected wealth E[W ] and expected utility E[u(W )]. b) How much insurance should Abigail buy now?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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  1. Abigail is a consumer whose utility is a function of her total wealth W.

           u() = log W.

Suppose that Abigail begins with initial wealth of = 100 but will suffer a serious illness with probability π = 0.15 which will require extensive treatment costing = 80. To hedge against this risk, Abigail considers buying a health insurance policy. She may buy as much insurance as she wishes at a cost of per dollar of coverage, so her payoffs in each state are

 

 

Healthy

Ill

Probability

0.85

0.15

No Insurance

100

20

Claim

0

I

Premium

pI

pI

 

a) Now suppose that the insurance company raises premiums to p = 0.2 so that they are no longer actuarially fair. Find Abigail’s expected wealth E[W ] and expected utility E[u(W )].

b) How much insurance should Abigail buy now?

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