David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of David's portfolio value consists of FF's shares, and the balance consists of PP's shares. Each stock's expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence 0.20 0.35 0.45 Strong Normal Weak Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals 40% 24% -32% 56% 32% -40% Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in David's portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the th possible market conditions next year. • The expected rate of return on Falcon Freight's stock over the next year is

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN:9781337514835
Author:MOYER
Publisher:MOYER
Chapter8: Analysis Of Risk And Return
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 6P
icon
Related questions
Question
Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible
circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return
expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence.
Consider the following case:
David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of
David's portfolio value consists of FF's shares, and the balance consists of PP's shares.
Each stock's expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in
different market conditions are detailed in the following table:
Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals
0.20
0.35
0.45
Strong
Normal
Weak
40%
24%
-32%
56%
32%
-40%
Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in David's portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the three
possible market conditions next year.
The expected rate of return on Falcon Freight's stock over the next year is
Transcribed Image Text:Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of David's portfolio value consists of FF's shares, and the balance consists of PP's shares. Each stock's expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals 0.20 0.35 0.45 Strong Normal Weak 40% 24% -32% 56% 32% -40% Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in David's portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the three possible market conditions next year. The expected rate of return on Falcon Freight's stock over the next year is
• The expected rate of return on Pheasant Pharmaceuticals's stock over the next year is
• The expected rate of return on David's portfolio over the next year is
The expected returns for David's portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to
time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous
probability distribution graph.
For example, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph:
PROBABILITY DENSITY
-40
-20
0
Company A
Company B
20
RATE OF RETURN (Percent)
40
60
Transcribed Image Text:• The expected rate of return on Pheasant Pharmaceuticals's stock over the next year is • The expected rate of return on David's portfolio over the next year is The expected returns for David's portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous probability distribution graph. For example, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph: PROBABILITY DENSITY -40 -20 0 Company A Company B 20 RATE OF RETURN (Percent) 40 60
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Risk and Return
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, finance and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Finance
ISBN:
9781337514835
Author:
MOYER
Publisher:
CENGAGE LEARNING - CONSIGNMENT