Factor Traditional Lean Inventory Deliveries Lot sizes Setups, runs Vendors Workers Much, to offset forecast errors, late deliveries Few, large Large Few, long runs Long-term relationships are unusual Necessary to do the work Minimal necessary to operate Many, small Small Many, short runs Partners Assets

Factor Traditional Lean Inventory Deliveries Lot sizes Setups, runs Vendors Workers Much, to offset forecast errors, late deliveries Few, large Large Few, long runs Long-term relationships are unusual Necessary to do the work Minimal necessary to operate Many, small Small Many, short runs Partners Assets

Purchasing and Supply Chain Management

6th Edition

ISBN:9781285869681

Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson

Publisher:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson

ChapterC: Cases

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 5.3SD: Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling...

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Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?
On Week a) Item: P24 hand 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Forecast 30 30 30 40 40 40 45 45 Customer Orders 13 8 4 PAB 20 Available to Promise MPS b) Determine if each customer order will be accepted. Order Amount Week Accept (Y/N) 1 40 2 30 3 4 30 25 462M 3 Update the MPS time-phased record for accepted orders. Item: P24 Forecast Customer Orders Problem 3: The MPS planner at Murphy Motors uses MPS time-phased records for planning end-item production. The planner is currently working on a schedule for the P24, one of Murphy's top-selling motors. The planner uses a production lot size of 70 and a safety stock of 5 for the P24 motor. a) Complete the MPS time-phased record for product P24. Use the table on the left. b) Determine if Murphy Motors can accept each of the following customer orders. Update the MPS time- phased record for accepted orders. Order 1234 Amount 40 Desired Week 4 30 30 25 623 8 4 On Week hand 1 2 3 4 5 6 30 30 30 40 40 40 74 45 45 PAB 20 Available to Promise MPS On hand = 20
How do you lllustrate Kibbles and Bit’s forecasted revenue and expenses for the next 3 years?
Gargash Car Service have repaired the following number of cars from January to May. Month Number of cars sold January 120 February 123 March 145 April 141 May 138 A. Calculate the three-period moving average forecast for the month of June. Show your work.8. Given the historical data and weights of 0.42, 0.33, and 0.25, calculate three-period weighted moving average forecast for June? Show your work.C. Calculate the naive forecast for June. Show your work.D. Would you prefer any of these forecasts above the other? Justify your answer.E. Suppose that the June's actual sales is 5 percent lower than May's sales. What will the error of your(preferred) forecast?
Explain how flexibility in productions system relates to the forecast horizon and forecast accuracy?
Problem 4- do both a three period moving average and an exponential smoothing forecast with an alpha of .2. Calculate the MAD and MPE for each. Months Actuals 1 400 2. 350 3 325 4. 300 300 6. 285 7. 290
Given below are the demands of a certain product over the past 10 weeks. Week | 1 2 3 4 | 5 67|89 | 10 Demand 50 64 66 68 67 63 69 67 65 66 (a) Forecast the demand for the 13th week using the following techniques: i. 3- week weighted moving average with weights 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5 ii. Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to 0.85 ii. Adjusted exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to 0.85 and smoothing constant for trend equal to 0.65 (b) Compute for the accuracy of each model using the mean squared error. Based on the computed MSE, what is the best forecasting technique for this time series?
PROBLEM 2:The manager of a large manufacturer of industrial pumps prepare forecasts for a six- month period. Month Demand Forecast 1 492 488 2 470 484 3 485 480 4 493 490 5 498 497 6 492 493 Required: Compute for the MAD, MSE, and MAPE.
1. Develop an aggregate plan for the following forecast Period 3 4 5 6 7 Total 1 2 8 Forecast 190 230 260 280 210 170 160 260 180 1,940 There are 20 workers who can produce 10 units per period at a cost of P6.00 per unit. There is no beginning invetory and the cost of carrying inventory is P5.00 per unit per period. Backlog cost is P10.00 per unit per period. Will the present workforce able to produce the forecast? b. What is the total cost of the plan? a.
Exercise Torecast CIT ▷ Complete the table Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 Forecast demand 700 760 780 790 850 950 Actual demand 660 840 750 835 910 890 ▷ What is MAD? MAPE? TS? Deviation RSFE (Cumulative sum of forecast errors) MAD (Mean absolute deviation) APE (absolute % error) +
Show solutions. 1. If actual recent demand was 41.5, using the focus forecasting approach, the forecast technique to use for next period is __ The technique and its forecast are as follows: Weighted moving average 40Moving average 43Exponential smoothing 41 2. LMN Company actual sales for january was 1588 units, but was forecast at 1599. The forecast error is __ units. 3. The 4-period moving average forecast for period 6 is __ Period Demand1 402 403 434 415 42