In the GARCH model = .00004+.05-1+.920-1, today's volatility is 30%. Will the forecast of volatility rise or fall and what will be the long run forecast? Long-run forecast is 30.5%. Forecast of volatility will rise. Long-run forecast is 58%. Forecast of volatility will rise. Long-run forecast is 58%. Forecast of volatility will fall. Long-run forecast is 3.65%. Forecast of volatility will fall.

College Algebra (MindTap Course List)
12th Edition
ISBN:9781305652231
Author:R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Publisher:R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Chapter8: Sequences, Series, And Probability
Section8.4: Geometric Sequences And Series
Problem 6SC
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In the GARCH model o = .00004 + .05r-1+.920-1, today's volatility is 30%. Will the
%3D
forecast of volatility rise or fall and what will be the long run forecast?
Long-run forecast is 30.5%. Forecast of volatility will rise.
O Long-run forecast is 58%. Forecast of volatility will rise.
O Long-run forecast is 58%. Forecast of volatility will fall.
O Long-run forecast is 3.65%. Forecast of volatility will fall.
Transcribed Image Text:In the GARCH model o = .00004 + .05r-1+.920-1, today's volatility is 30%. Will the %3D forecast of volatility rise or fall and what will be the long run forecast? Long-run forecast is 30.5%. Forecast of volatility will rise. O Long-run forecast is 58%. Forecast of volatility will rise. O Long-run forecast is 58%. Forecast of volatility will fall. O Long-run forecast is 3.65%. Forecast of volatility will fall.
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