Let the state set be = {wo, w₁), the action set be A = {a0, a1}, and the agent's utility function u (a, w) be 03=3 W=W1 a = ao a = a1 4 1 0 . Calculate the expected utility of the agent using her prior belief. Calculate the expected utility and information value of a fully informative experiment Ę and experiment E₁: E1 8 = 80 S=81 03=3 1/6 5/6 3=W1 2/3 1/3 as a function of the prior belief μo (w₁). Illustrate.
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- Suppose that an individual is just willing to accept a gamble to win or lose $1000 if the probability ofwinning is 0.6. Suppose that the utility gained if the individual wins is 100 utils. How much utility does one lose if one loses the gamble?Choice under uncertainty Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. 5. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above. (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.
- Consider the lottery that assigns a probability r of obtaining a level of consumption CH and a probability 1-T of obtaining a low level of consumption cL an individual facing such a lottery with utility function u(c) that has the properties that more is better (that is, a strictly positive marginal utility of consumption at all levels of c) and diminishing marginal utility of consumption, u"(c) CL. Consider du(c) for the first derivative of the utility function with respect to dc d²u(c) dc2 du' (c) consumption and u"(c) which is also the derivative of the first derivative of the utility function). to be the second derivative of the utility function dcConsider an individual who gets a utility of u(x) - x^1/2 from his total wealth x. Amsume that he has 160.000 AZN in the bank and owns a car with a value of 90,000 AZN. It is expected that will be stolen within the next year with 20% probability, whereas nothing will happen with. Your company tries to sell him an insurance package with the following properties; as an insurance premium now. (ii) if his car is stolen, your company will pay him a partial ation of 55,000 AZN. (iii) if his car is not stolen, there will be no paytent made by your .Should the individund buy this package, if the insurance premium in 12,500 AZN? ExplainAn individual has the utility function U(I) = I^(1/2), where I is their net income. (Note that I to the exponent/power of 1/2 is the same as the square root of I.) The individual starts with $1600 in income. The individual has a 20% probability of being very sick, 30% probability of being slightly sick, and 50% probability of being healthy. If the individual is sick, they lose net income because they need to pay healthcare costs. The healthcare costs are $1600 if they are very sick, $700 if they are slightly sick, and $0 if they are healthy. Please use this information for the following parts of this question unless otherwise specified. What is the individual's expected utility? Suppose a health insurance company offers the individual a full insurance contract. What is the actuarially fair, full insurance premium for this individual? What is the individual's expected utility if they purchase a full insurance contract at the actuarially fair, full insurance premium?
- Consider a worker whose utility is equal to the amount of dollars she has (U = $) and who can earn $100 a day as a bank teller. However, she takes a job as a worker in a firm that produces shirts. She and her coworkers are monitored at random by their employer to see if they are exerting a target level of effort of e* = 15 units. Assume that the probability of any worker being monitored is p. Also assume that e* is the same level of effort the worker would have to exert as a bank teller. If she is monitored and her employer finds that she is exerting at least 15 units of effort, she is paid > $100. If she is caught putting in less than 15 units of effort, she is fired on the spot but given severance pay of w < w. Say that she suffers a disutility of effort of $2, in monetary terms, for every unit of effort she exerts, so that the dollar cost of exerting the target level of effort of e* is - 2e*. (If she chooses to exert a lower level of effort than e*, we can assume that she will not…An agent makes decisions using U(ct) = (ct−χct−1)1−γ 1−γ . Answer the following: (a) Suppose χ = 0. Derive an expression for the coefficient of relative risk aversion RR(ct)? (b) Suppose 0 < χ ≤ 1. Derive an expression for the coefficient of relative risk aversion RR(ct)?#3. Hannah gets 50 utils from visiting her family for Thanksgiving. But there is a 1% chance that she will get the coronavirus from them. If she gets the coronavirus, her utility is -6000 utils. Her total utility would be -5950 (i.e. 50 – 6000). She gets 0 utils from staying healthy (total utility = 50 + 0 = 50). If Hannah doesn't visit her family for Thanksgiving, then she gets -25 utils from eating turkey cold cuts alone in front of the TV. In that case, there is no risk of getting sick. What will Hannah do? a. Visit her family for Thanksgiving b. Not visit her family for Thanksgiving c. Visit her family if she is risk-loving, not visit if she is risk-averse d. Visit her family if she is risk-averse, not visit if she is risk-loving
- #3. Hannah gets 50 utils from visiting her family for Thanksgiving. But there is a 1% chance that she will get the coronavirus from them. If she gets the coronavirus, her utility is -6000 utils. Her total utility would be -5950 (i.e. 50 – 6000). She gets 0 utils from staying healthy (total utility = 50 + 0 = 50). If Hannah doesn't visit her family for Thanksgiving, then she gets -25 utils from eating turkey cold cuts alone in front of the TV. In that case, there is no risk of getting sick. What will Hannah do?5. Shift-in-charge Nazar Al Rushdy: Nazar is pessimistic about the market price. What is your guidance for Nazar? The decision to employ decision trees in crucial situations has been taken by Salem Al Harthi, the plant manager. The table below presents data on demand for a duration of 6 hours along with their respective probabilities. The first row of the table provides the probability of demand for the initial three hours when a leak occurs, denoted in parentheses. Subsequently, the following three rows indicate the probabilities of high, medium, and low demand for the succeeding three hours. To illustrate, if the initial 3-hour market price was low, the probabilities of high demand, medium demand, and low demand in the next three hours are 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5, respectively. Market price High Market price Medium Initial 3-hrs (0.2) Initial 3-hrs (0.5) Market price Low Initial 3-hrs (0.3) High demand (next (0.5) (0.4) (0.2) 3 hrs) Medium demand (0.3) (0.2) (0.3) (next 3 hours) Low demand…1 -(Y– 11). V49 Suppose the random variable Y has a mean of 11 and a variance of 49. Let Z = Show that = 0. Hz =E I (Y-D] = 0 %D (Round your responses to two decimal places)