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- Which of the following statements is CORRECT? Forward rate should provide more accurate forecasts for currencies in low-inflation countries than the spot rate. The technical forecasting is based on a wide range of data regarded as fundamental economic variables that determine exchange rates. In contrast, the fundamental forecasting focuses on a much smaller set of data, typically the historical exchange rates. O Technical forecasting model can reliably forecast long-run exchange rates. The spot rate is a useful Market-Based Forecast if the expected percentage change in the currency is zero over the forecast period. There are three main types of methods to forecast exchange rates: technical forecasting. fundamental forecasting, and market-based forecasting. These three methods always make the same directional prediction regarding whether a currency is appreciating orWhich one of the following statements is correct? Real rates must exceed inflation rates. Real interest rates might be positive, zero, or even negative. Nominal interest rates are not affected by inflation rates. Real interest rates will be positive as long as the inflation rate is positive. The Fisher hypothesis advocates that real interest rates follow inflation rates.Which one of the following statements is correct? A. Real rates must exceed inflation rates. B. Real interest rates might be positive, zero, or even negative. C. Nominal interest rates are not affected by inflation rates. D. Real interest rates will be positive as long as the inflation rate is positive. E. The Fisher hypothesis advocates that real interest rates follow inflation rates.
- Answer the following: a. Explain why the interest parity condition must hold if the foreign exchange market is in equilibrium. b. Explain why overshooting occurs. What can the Central Bank do to mitigate its effects?Which of the following statements is (are) FALSE? Select one or more alternatives: Studies suggest that forward exchange rates are unbiased predictors for future spot exchange rates in internationally integrated capital markets. If arbitrageurs have sufficient capital to trade on risk-free opportunities instantaneously, we will see persistent deviations from covered interest parity. If both uncovered interest parity hypothesis and covered interest parity hypothesis hold, we can predict what the spot exchange rate will be in one year from today based on today's one-year forward exchange rate. If forward exchange rates deviate from synthetic forward rates defined by covered interest rate parity, there will be risk-free arbitrage opportunities in efficient capital markets.Explain the random walk model for exchange rate forecasting. Can it be consistent with technical analysis?
- Consider the monetary policy rule under financial frictions. If f >0 the prevailing market real interest rate will be the federal funds rate? equal to lower than higher thanExplain on the effects of rising inflation rates on the economy. How can the rising inflation rate be controlled effectively?Required: i) Under a fixed exchange rate, a continuous increase in domestic credit will finally cause... i. unemployment to rise ii. unemployment to fall iii. iv. V. exchange rate regime to collapse exchange rate regime to get stronger economic growth
- According to the efficient market school, do the best job at predicting future spot exchange rates.Suppose that the relevant equilibrium model is the CAPM with unlimited borrowing and lending at a riskless rate of interest. Assuming, you discovered a security that was located below the security market line. What would you conclude about the pricing of this particular security? Describe any changes you would expect to occur in its price.Researchers found that it is very difficult to forecast future exchange rates more accurately than the forward exchange rate or the current spot exchange rate. How would you interpret this finding?