Sophie is offered a performance based wage that will either be equal to $4,200 or to $3,600, each with a probability of 50%. Sophie says that getting $3,900 for certain would be as good as being offered that random wage. Which, of the following sentences, is true? options: Sophie is risk averse and her risk premium is zero. Sophie is risk neutral and her risk premium is zero. Sophie is risk averse and her risk premium is $300. Sophie is risk neutral and her risk premium is $300.
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- The chief executive officer of a publishing company says she is indifferentbetween the certainty of receiving $7,500 and a gamble where there is a 0.5 chance of receiving $5,000 and a 0.5 chance of receiving $10,000. a). Does she seem to be a risk averter, a risk lover, or risk- neutral? Explain. b). What is the coefficient of variation of the risky option (gamble)?4) Luke is planning an around-the-world trip on which he plans to spend $10,000. The utility from the trip is a function of how much she spends on it (Y ), given by U(Y) = InY a). If there is a 25 percent probability that Luke will lose $1000 of his cash on the trip, what is the trip's expected utility. b). Suppose that Luke can buy insurance to fully against losing the $1,000 with a actuarially fair insurance. What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. Will he purchase the insurance? c). Now suppose utility function is U(Y) = Y/1000 What is his expected utility if he purchase the insurance in b). Will he purchase the insurance?Utility functions incorporate a decision maker’s attitude towards risk. Let’s assume that the following utilities were assessed for Danica Wary. x u(x) -$2,000 0 -$500 62 $0 75 $400 80 $5,000 100 Would a risk neutral decision maker be willing to take the following deal: 30% chance of winning $5,000, 40% chance of winning $400 and a 30% chance of losing $2,000? Using the utilities given in the table above, determine whether Danica would be willing to take the deal described in part a? Is Danica risk averse or is she a risk taker? What is her risk premium for this deal?
- Michael lives on an island and owns a beach house worth $400,000. Of that, $100,000 is the cost of land and $300,000 is the cost of the structure. The probability that a hurricane destroys his house is 3percent (he will still own the land). Michael can purchase hurricane insurance at the price of $2for each $100 of coverage. 1. What is Michael’s contingent consumption bundle if Michael does not purchase insuranceA risk-averse agent, Andy, has power utility of consumption with riskaversion coefficient γ = 0.5. While standing in line at the conveniencestore, Andy hears that the odds of winning the jackpot in a new statelottery game are 1 in 250. A lottery ticket costs $1. Assume his income isIt = $100. You can assume that there is only one jackpot prize awarded,and there is no chance it will be shared with another player. The lotterywill be drawn shortly after Andy buys the ticket, so you can ignore therole of discounting for time value. For simplicity, assume that ct+1 = 100even if Andy buys the ticket How large would the jackpot have to be in order for Andy to play thelottery? b) What is the fair (expected) value of the lottery with the jackpot youfound in (a)? What is the dollar amount of the risk premium that Andyrequires to play the lottery? Solve for the optimal number of lottery tickets that Andy would buyif the jackpot value were $10,000 (the ticket price, the odds of winning,and Andy’s…Consider the St. Petersburg Paradox problem first discussed by Daniel Bernoulli in 1738. The game consists of tossing a coin. The player gets a payoff of 2^n where n is the number of times the coin is tossed to get the first head. So, if the sequence of tosses yields TTTH, you get a payoff of 2^4 this payoff occurs with probability (1/2^4). Compute the expected value of playing this game. Next, assume that utility U is a function of wealth X given by U = X.5 and that X = $1,000,000. In this part of the question, assume that the game ends if the first head has not occurred after 40 tosses of the coin. In that case, the payoff is 240 and the game is over. What is the expected payout of this game? Finally, what is the most you would pay to play the game if you require that your expected utility after playing the game must be equal to your utility before playing the game? Use the Goal Seek function (found in Data, What-If Analysis) in Excel.
- If a risk-neutral individual owns a home worth $200,000 and there is a three percent chance the home will be destroyed by fire in the next year, then we know 15. that: a) He is willing to pay much more than $6,000 for full cover. b) He is willing to pay much less than $6,000 for full cover. c) He is willing to pay at most $6,000 for full cover. d) None of the above are correct. e) All of the above are correct.2. Suppose you asked the following question to Person A and Person B: "How much are you willing to pay to avoid the following fair gamble – win $100 with 50% chance and lose $100 with 50% chance (thus, Variance is equal to 10,000)?" A's answer- $2 B's answer-$10 Assuming that A and B have CARA utility function, a) compute their absolute risk aversion coefficients (approximately) and b) compute their risk premiums for avoiding the following new gamble - win $500 with 50% chance and lose $500 with 50% chance.3. Suppose that Jon Snow's utility function is given by U(I)=501 where I represents annual income in thousands of dollars. a. Is Jon risk loving, risk neutral, or risk averse? Explain b. Suppose that Jon is currently earning an income of $1000 and can earn that income next year with certainty. He is offered a chance to take a new night watch job that offers a 0.25 probability of earning $2000 and a 0.75 probability of earning $500. Should he take the new night watch job?
- Question 3: Jane has utility function over her net income U(Y)=Y2 a. What are Jane's preferences towards risk? Is she risk averse, risk neutral or risk loving? [Briefly explain your answer] b. Jane drives to work every day and she spends a lot of money on parking meters. She is considering of cheating and not paying for the parking. However, she knows that there is a 1/4 probability of being caught on a given day if she cheats, and that the cost of the ticket is $36. Her daily income is $100. What is the maximum amount of she will be willing to pay for one day parking? c. Paul also faces the same dilemma every single day. However, he has a utility function U(Y)-Y. His daily income is also $100. What is Paul's preference towards risk? Is he risk averse, risk neutral or risk loving? d. If the price of one day parking is $9.25, will Paul cheat or pay the parking meter? Will Jane cheat or pay the parking meter?2. Kier, in The scenario, wants to determine how each of the 3 companies will decide on possible new investments. He was able to determine the new investment pay off for each of the three choices as well as the probability of the two types of market. If a company will launch product 1, it will gain 50,000 if the market is successful and lose 50,000 if the market is a failure. If a company will launch product 2, it will gain 25,000 if the market is successful and lose 25,000 if the market will fail. If a company decides not to launch any of the product, it will not be affected whether the market will succeed or fail. There is a 56% probability that the market will succeed and 44% probability that the market will fail. What will be the companies decision based on EMV? What is the decision of each company based on expected utility value?Anne has $138.40 and is thinking about buying a lottery ticket. The lottery pays $4.00 with probability 0.20 and $172.00 with probability 0.80. To buy the ticket, Anne would need to spend all her money. Suppose we observe Anne buying the ticket. What can we infer about Anne? Choose one: O A. We cannot infer that Anne is risk neutral. O B. We can infer that Anne is not risk averse. O C. We cannot infer anything. O D. We can infer that Anne is risk averse.