The actual demand of a product for six months are summarized in the table below: Month ( ) t Demand t D 1 2 3 4 5 6 80 90 70 100 70 90 i. Find three months weighted moving averages by assuming the weights, 1 0.1 W = , 2 0.4W = and 3 0.5 W =
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QUESTION ONE
(a)
The actual demand of a product for six months are summarized in the table below:
Month ( ) t Demand t D
1 2 3 4 5 6
80 90 70 100 70 90
i.
Find three months weighted moving averages by assuming the weights, 1 0.1 W = , 2 0.4W = and 3 0.5 W =
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- QUESTION THREE (a) The actual demand of a product for 6 months are summarized in Table below: Actual Demand Values Month ( ) t Demand ( ) tD 1 300 2 450 3 700 4 900 5 1200 6 1400 i. Find three months weighted moving averages by assuming the weights 1 0.15 W = , 2 0.36W = and 3 0.49 W = . ii. Compute the mean forecast errors. iii. Compute the mean square error29 00:24 1 令.l 50 B/s Question no. 02: A Leading manufacturer of Action Figures is about to introduce four new Action Figures. The accompanying table summarizes price and cost data, combined fixed costs equal $650,000. A marketing research study predicts that for each unit sold of Noyan, 2 units of Dogan, 3 units of Bamsi and 4 units of Turgut will be sold. Action Figures Turgut Bamsi Dogan Novan Selling Price (in dollars) 35 26 24 16 Variable Cost/unit (in dollars) 17 12 12 11 Table 1 a) How many product mix units must be sold to break even? b) How does it translate into sales of individual games?Q 6. For the following data, calculate the number of workers required for level production and the resulting month-end inventories. Each worker can produce 15 units per day, and the desired ending inventory is 9000 units. Month 1 3 4 Total Working Days 20 24 12 19 Forecast Demand 28,000 27,500 28,500 28,500 Planned Production Planned Inventory 11,250 [3+2] 2.
- QUESTION THREE (a) The actual demand of a product for 6 months are summarized in Table below: Actual Demand Values Month ( ) t Demand ( ) tD 1 300 2 450 3 700 4 900 5 1200 6 1400 iv. Compute the mean absolute deviation. v. Mean absolute percent error (MAPE)Table 1. Demand of Hairdryer from January to July [Jadual 1. Permintaan Pengering Rambut dari Januari 2021 hingga Julai 2021] Month Demand January February 2800 2870 March 2968 April Мay 3000 3100 Jun 3150 July 3400 a) Calculate forecast future demand for May, June, July and August by using 3 months simple moving average.[hitung ramalan permintaan masa depan untuk bulan Mei, Jun, Julai dan Ogos dengan menggunakan purata bergerak sederhana 3 bulan.] *Part B Three-period Four-period Units Units Demanded Period weighted moving weighted moving Demanded Three-period weighted moving average forecast average forecast average forecast Four-period weighted moving average forecast 24 2 25 60 28 50 49 S50 4 32 26.33 46 4.90 39,80 40 41 5 35 29.50 28.6 38 35 38 32.83 31.7 30 32 28 25 26,93 250 es 7 41 36.00 34.9 24 20 8 46 39.00 38 49 43.00 41.8 10 10 53 46.67 45.4 50.50 49.2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1. Make a comparative analysis out of your answers in the plotted data. (3-5 sentences)
- Question 2 Historical demand for gulab jamun from a sweet stall on Commercial Road is as displayed in the table. Month Demand (orders) January 66,753 February 67,686 March 68,641 April 68,979 May 69,278 June 69,577 July 69,602 August 70,348 September 70,806 October 71,011 November 71,819 December 72,752 What is the forecast for June using Holt's model with an alpha of 0.1 and a beta of 0.2? 69121 69612 70564 63545 Full explain this question text typingCalculate customer life time value for the data below. (Show Work) Purchase Occasion Transition Probability Average Basket Size 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 ΝΑ 55% 75% 78% 83% 81% 81% 86% 82% 85% 90% 93% 85% 89% 85% 91% 97% 97% 96% 85% 83% 89% 82% 79% 82% 89% 88% 86% 67% 75% $46.71 $56.71 $57.93 $56.87 $58.26 $66.90 $63.62 $70.27 $63.03 $62.60 $71.81 $76.76 $78.14 $65.65 $74.84 $81.11 $72.08 $87.30 $71.94 $75.44 $70.35 $72.86 $66.68 $79.90 $93.91 $61.08 $94.16 $100.40 $77.89 $99.70Q 6. A production line is to run at 1200 units per month. Sales are forecast as shown in the following table. Calculate the expected period-end inventory. The opening inventory is 700 units. All periods have the same number of working days. Week Forecast Demand 3 |5 6 1 2 4 800 850 600 550 600 700 Planned Production 1200 1200|1200 1200 1200|1200 Planned Inventory 700
- Question 3: Jane is trying to forecast demand for her store, using moving average with n=2, Fill in the missing cells with correct values and find average error for first quarter and second quarter of year 2000 E Enroll- Year Quarter ment Forecast Error Abs Error 1997 313 3. 2 285 4 3 312 5. 4 339 6. 1998 1 359 7 320 356 385 6. 10 1999 396 367 11 397 12 423 13 14 2000 1 15 2000 3412M4QUESTION 4 Calculate four periods moving average forecast from the following last six periods Period Demand 1 38 40 42 4 40 44 38 O a. 40 Ob.41 Ос. 42 Od. 43c. Compute and tabulate the daily demand for each month in the table below (round off to the nearest whole number). MONTH PRODUCTION DAYS DEMAND FORECAST DEMAND PER DAY JAN 2022 16 150 ? FEB 2022 16 150 ? MAR 2022 23 250 ? APR 2022 21 250 ? MAY 2022 22 400 ? JUN 2022 22 500 ? JUL 2022 21 600 ? AUG 2022 20 750 ? SEP 2022 20 450 ? OCT 2022 20 250 ? NOV 2022 16 150 ? DEC 2022 16 150 ? TOTAL ? ? d. Assuming that MPQ Limited had adopted a level strategy for the year ended 31 December 2022, compute the average daily demand for the year (round off to the nearest whole number). e. Prepare a graph showing the monthly forecasts and average daily forecast (in units per day) for MPQ Limited.
