Marriott Rooms Forecasting Executive Summary In the case of the Hamilton hotel, Snow needs to make a decision as to if 60 additional rooms reservations should be accepted which could lead to overbooking (Weatherford & Bodily,1990). It is a problem of capacity utilization that is being faced in this particular case where revenue maximization is aimed while minimizing customer dissatisfaction. In this report the case is put forward and various methods have been chosen to come to a sensible conclusion. Firstly the raw data provided is used and the exponential smoothing model (ESM) is used to predict the outcome of guests on Saturday the 22nd of August. Next basic statistics are used and standard deviation is calculated with which the …show more content…
This would be used to forecast Saturdays adjusted pickup ratio taking into consideration the valleys and peaks of demand, which cannot be forecasted. Finally the forecast of the adjusted pickup ratio will be multiplied by the Saturday DOW index to get the unadjusted pickup ratio (Weatherford & Bodily,1990). Issue Statement The center of the case is to come to a decision as to the 60 additional rooms reservation is to be accepted. How managers are to maximize revenue capacity and predict efficient forecasts to make good decisions when handling reservations in the case of demand increasing forecasting and overbooking decisions if they are detrimental to customer loyalty. Analysis of the Problem The main problem in this case is maximizing capacity utilization. An offer for 60 additional reservations to be accepted or not is the question to which Snow, the reservation manager has though of examining the problem through Snow’s technique. One is to have a good forecast of the pickup ratio, which can be multiplied to the Tuesday bookings to get the estimate of the demand. One has to obtain the forecast of adjusted pickup ratio, which can be multiplied, to the Saturday DOW Index to obtain the unadjusted pickup ratio. Here is is trying to eliminate the DOW effect that exists and average the demand through the week (Weatherford & Bodily,1990). Then the
to choose and be more satisfied with their choice of hotel over participants from the extensive
A doorman can please the customer with a smile and a few words of welcome, but one surly waiter can kill the effect. Or if we keep an executive waiting in his suite in his underwear for his only suit to come back from a one-hour pressing, we could lose a lifetime customer worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. No hotel, however splendid, looks good to someone whose day it has ruined. For example, lodging manager usually work long and irregular hours including weekends, evenings and most public holidays, usually works indoors, and from an
While obtaining background information about the client, the staff person learned from the Asheville hotel manager that the Asheville hotel was closed for one week in October because of flooding. Amanda has assessed inherent risk as high and control risk as low for the existence, completeness, and accuracy of sleeping room revenues based on challenging but improving regional and national economic conditions and favorable control procedures associated with sleeping room revenues. Further, after
Marriott is renowned for its elegant and comfortable hotels and resorts. The company caters to a targeted customer base, ranging from the frequent corporate business traveler to the family enjoying their occasional weekend get-away. Marriott has continued its rise in the lodging, contract services, and restaurant industries. The company continuously strives to meet the needs and wants of its customers while strategically maneuvering the rigors of today’s competitive and ever-evolving market of glamorous destinations and convenient services. In order to remain relevant in a highly-competitive environment, Marriott must strike that successful balance of minimizing costs, and gaining and effectively
Mr. McKenzie was immediately uncomfortable with the policy of the hotel. In his line of business, he knew that a successful company would not follow this procedure, when booking a customer’s reservation.
In the first scenario the monthly rental rate needed to be determined to reduce the vacancy rate to about 15%, while maximizing profits. The change in the demand was due to the rental rate; lowering the rental rate to $950 increased the quantity demanded to 1900 with a surplus of 100, and maximized profits to $1.81 million.
When analyzing the operations side of the Regal Carnation Hotel, we thought specific questions could clarify the situation. The first question we posed was “Why would the hotel offer such a low price to customers if they are trying to compete with higher end hotels on their website?” When a hotel wants all the money up front with no possibility of a refund, they’re sending a discrete yet emblematic message to the prospective consumer that would seem to be a prototypical bait-and-switch operation. Because of the remote location, customers wouldn’t be able to verify and match the value of the hotel to the perceived market. Customers commit to the hotel as soon as they set their reservations, and almost undoubtedly they are disappointed and become a subject of a unique case study.
As we discussed in class, every business is faced with these issues and they are important to managers making strategic decisions. One of the first things learned about business is that if there is no demand for a good or service, the firm that provides it will not continue to exist. Over time the hotel industry has continued to change with market conditions and make itself attractive to business
Listed in the table below are three companies that offer reservations system software and services. Each company was compared to market they tailed their software and services, whether they offered a trial version, pricing structure, number of users available to access the system, the platform their solution can support, available features and training offered by each company.
We would choose to use Practical Capacity in order to calculate the budgeted fixed cost per room. Using this approach, the total cost of a room per day would be €60 (€35 fixed cost + €25 fixed cost). Using Master-Budget Capacity Analysis increases the costs to a point at which the room price is uncompetitive and in which the guests are paying for the unused capacity of more than 1/2 the hotel.
What factors lead to variations in demand for rooms at a hotel such as the Accra Beach?
In order to identify the optimal booking policy we have conducted simulation with 40 different booking levels for business and economy. As these two variables are independent, we have conducted consequential analysis. Results for business class level booking are in (figure 3). The detailed information about tested values is in Appendix B.
Hospitality Management is a difficult and competitive market, and any lack in customer service can result in defecting customers or the termination of a relationship between a customer and a service provider. In this paper we will look at Hilton a company that has continually ranked amongst the top ranking hotels and continues to improve. Hilton’s customer service ranks as one of the top hospitality providers in the United States. We will look at the history of how Hilton came to be the name brand it is today and some of their process the used to narrow the customer service gaps such as Hilton Honors, the Hiltons Reservation Customer Care, and RESMAX. We will look at how they look at how Hilton manages the customer expectations through the use of employee training and their decreased the customer service gap through employee retention. We will also look as how Hilton co-partnered with Citibank in order to offer its Hilton Honors member additional benefits in order to keep in line with the customer service that the customers have come to expect.
One of the most important parts of this financial plan is that rates be increased on weekends. In the information, it also stated that most customers visited on the weekends. If the prices were increased over the weekends, even if not by much, the hotel could make more revenues.
Research indicates that whilst a price reducing strategy, which is commonly used in response to strong competition, may see short term gains, rarely does it attract and retain new customers (Chan & Wong 2005). In Hong Kong many hotels have reduced their room rates to remain competitive, however the above implies that hoteliers would do better to understand how their services and facilities influence customer satisfaction rather than simply reducing