1. An urn always contains 2 balls, and ball colors are either red or blue. At each stage, a ball is randomly chosen (i.e., each ball chosen with probability 0.5) and replaced by a new ball. The new ball is with probability 0.8 of the same color as the ball it replaces, and with probability 0.2 the opposite color as the ball it replaces. If initially both balls are red, find the probability that the fifth ball selected is red.

College Algebra
10th Edition
ISBN:9781337282291
Author:Ron Larson
Publisher:Ron Larson
Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.7: Probability
Problem 4ECP: Show that the probability of drawing a club at random from a standard deck of 52 playing cards is...
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1.
An urn always contains 2 balls, and ball colors are either red or blue. At each
stage, a ball is randomly chosen (i.e., each ball chosen with probability 0.5) and replaced by
a new ball. The new ball is with probability 0.8 of the same color as the ball it replaces, and
with probability 0.2 the opposite color as the ball it replaces. If initially both balls are red,
find the probability that the fifth ball selected is red.
1:1:4
Transcribed Image Text:1. An urn always contains 2 balls, and ball colors are either red or blue. At each stage, a ball is randomly chosen (i.e., each ball chosen with probability 0.5) and replaced by a new ball. The new ball is with probability 0.8 of the same color as the ball it replaces, and with probability 0.2 the opposite color as the ball it replaces. If initially both balls are red, find the probability that the fifth ball selected is red. 1:1:4
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