1.0 1.0 Determine the expected value of the contribution 1.0
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- A company wants to produce a souvenir with a marketing life of sixmonths. Uncertainty surrounds the likely sales volume as well as thefixed costs of the venture as shown below:Sales units Probability Contrn. /unit Probability Fixed cost Probability100 000 0.3 K 7 0.5 K400 000 0.2 Page 5 of 80 000 0.6 K 5 0.5 K450 000 0.560 000 0.1 K500 000 0.31.0 1.0 1.0 Determine the expected value of the contributionThe water pump company has succeeded in introducing a water pump that saves electricity, is easy to install, and is durable (guaranteed). Its high quality has given the company an early edge in the local and national markets, but the entry of highly skilled competitors may occur within the next 3 years. Assume that the income and expense relationship of the company is as follows: TR = 22000Q - 15.6Q2 MR = dTR / dQ = 22000 - 31.2Q TC = 300000 + 4640Q + 10Q2 MC = dTC / dQ = 4640 + 20Q Where TR is income (in thousands of rupiah), Q is quantity (in units), MR is marginal income (in thousands of rupiah), TC is total cost, including a risk-adjusted normal rate of return on investment (in thousands of rupiah), and MC is the marginal cost (in thousands of rupiah). a. Compute: the profit-maximizing price-output combination. b. Compute: long-run equilibrium high-price / low-output. c. Compute: long-run low-price / high-output equilibriumConsider the following price and dividend data for Ford Motor Company: Dividend ($) Date December 31, 2004 January 26, 2005 April 28, 2005 July 29, 2005 October 28, 2005 December 30, 2005 Price ($) $14.04 $13.43 $9.14 OA. -44.4% OB. -40.2% OC.-42.32% OD. -38.1% $10.74 $8.02 $7.72 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 Assume that you purchased Ford Motor Company stock at the closing price on December 31, 2004 and sold it at the closing price on December 30, 2005. Your realized annual return is for the year 2005 is closest to:
- 3. The manager for a manufacturing company must recommend whether to construct a large plant, construct a small plant or do nothing. He estimates the long-run profits in $ as follows: State of Nature Alternative Good Average Poor Market($) Market ($) Market ($) Construct a 100,000 35,000 -60,000 large plant Construct a 75,000 25,000 -40,000 small plant Do nothing -5,000 0 0 Probability 25% 50% 25% Solve using: A. Expected Opportunity Loss B. Expected Value of Perfect Information3. An organization decides to assess the impact of its suppliers' failure to meet delivery dates, as well as late payment of their bills on time. by customers or other debtors. This analysis seeks to assess a type of risk: Select one: a.Unpredictable. b.Inherent. c.prevailing. d.Intangible.Cost Planning; Gasoline Prices In June 2008, when gasoline prices were at an all-time high(more than $4 per gallon), Chrysler Motor Company promoted its Jeep vehicle with the offer of either$4,500 off the price of the vehicle or the guarantee that the buyer would not pay more than $2.99 pergallon of gas for the next 3 years (the details of the guarantee could vary by dealer).Required1. Assume that the Jeep vehicle you are interested in gets 15 mpg combined city/highway and that at thetime of purchase, you expected gasoline prices to average $5 per gallon over the next 3 years. How manymiles would you have to drive the vehicle in the next 3 years to make the guarantee more attractive thanthe $4,500 discount?
- 4. "Family Man," a construction company, is considering whether to bid on a contract for a new housing complex. The cost of preparing a bid USD 200,000. “Family Man" has a 0.8 probability of winning the contract, if it submits the bid. If "Family Man" wins the bid, it has to pay USD 2000,000 to be a project partner of the project. As per the usual practice, "Family Man" will then consider consulting a market research firm "Marquess" to conduct a market survey to forecast the demand of housing complex before beginning the construction. "Marquess" charges a fee of USD 150,000. Now, the demand scenario can be either "High demand" or "Low demand." "Family Man" gets a revenue of USD 5000,000 and USD 3000,000 in case of "High demand" and "Low demand" scenario, respectively. On the other hand, instead of construction, "Family Man" has a provision of selling its project rights to another project partner construction company at the price USD 3500,000. As per the historical data, "Marquess"…Government officials must decide how to reduce the amount of Magentum being adulterated in the future. According to Becker, which of the following are options that could get the same expected cost of crime commission? 1 - Increase the probability of detection and conviction and combine that with a low sanction. 2 - Change the opportunity cost of the crime. 3 - Keep a low risk of probability of detection and conviction but impose a very high sanction. 1 and 3 1, 2, 3 1 and 2 2 and 3b. A company is trying to decide whether to bid for a certain contract or not. They estimate that merely preparing the bid will cost R10 000. If their company bid then they estimate that there is a 50% chance that their bid will be put on the "short-list", otherwise their bid will be rejected. Once "short-listed" the company will have to supply further detailed information (entailing costs estimated at R5 000). After this stage their bid will either be accepted or rejected. The company estimates that the labour and material costs associated with the contract are R127 000. They are considering three possible bid prices, namely R155 000, R170 000 and R190 000. They estimate that the probability of these bids being accepted (once they have been short-listed) is 0.90, 0.75 and 0.35 respectively. The immediate question facing the company is whether or not to prepare a bid. Draw a decision tree for the above decision situation. Show each decision point and each chance event. Insert all…
- Which of the following losses or outgoings incurred cannot be deducted as a general deduction by a share investor: Group of answer choices Interest on money borrowed to buy shares expected to produce dividends, Investment journals and publications. Investment journals and publications. Subscriptions to share market information services. Management fees or retainers to investment advisers for an initial investment plan. Management fees or retainers to investment advisers for ongoing investment advice.The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): Decision State of Nature Alternative Low Demand (S1) Medium Demand (S2) High Demand )S3) Manufacture, d(1) -20 40 100 Purchase, d(2) 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P s1= 0.35, P s2= 0.35, and P s3= 0.30 Use expected value to recommend a decision.The number of people visiting the hospital emergency room for chest pains increased as the stock market dropped in 2008 & 2009. The drop in the stock market is probably partly responsible for this increase. Two Things Being Correlated (in the premises) : How They're Purportedly Correlated: Conclusion Argued For (in the conclusion) : Any Plausible Alternate Explanations? (yes or no) : If so, what? (spurious coincidence, common cause, reversed) : Explain this Alternate Explanation: Overall Quality of Argument (good or bad) :