Given is a Decision Tree Diagram. The Payoffs 1-14 are given in the table below. Answer questions a, b, and c. 1/3 PayOff 5.. 1/3 PayOff 2 1/3 PayOff 3 0.30 0.50 PayOff 4 PayOff 5 Alternative A 0.20 PayOff 6 Alternative B 0.30 0.50 1/3 PayOff 7 1/3 2 PayOff 8 1/3 PayOff 9 5 PayOff 10 PayOff 11 0.20 PayOff 12 1/2 6 PayOff 13 3 1/2 PayOff 14 Payo 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ff $ 5 -2 5 2 9 2 5 -5 3 4 4 -3 7 6 a) The value at node 4 is Blank 1 b) The value at node 8 is Blank 2 (in 1 decimal place) c) The best course of action or decision is to select alternative Blank 3
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- The following is a payoff an Electronic Company's Product The State of Nate Decision Alternative 0.69 0.31 S2 D1 14 D2 13 D3 11 The Expected values for the payoff table as follows: E(D1= 5.72 EID2)= 11.45 EID3) 9.14 What should be the payoff value for the D2 under S1 to keep the solution.or Clek Sne and Sub to abeit Cliok Soella e all aoPlease do not give solution in image formate thanku. 11-24 Using PERT, Ed Rose was able to determine that the expected project completion time for the construction of a pleasure yacht is 21 months and the project variance is 4. What is the probability that the project will be completed in 17 months or less? What is the probability that the project will be completed in 20 months or less? What is the probability that the project will be completed in 23 months or less? What is the probability that the project will be completed in 25 months or less?1. Consider the decision table given below. Find which Profits NI N2 N3 N4 decision will be taken, as a function of c (a real number) according to a. Wald's criterion, Laplace's criterion, and Hurwicz's criterion (take a-0.6). b. Find the range(s) of c for which all three methods uniquely lead to same alternative. SI 3. 4 6. S2 2 4 S3 6. S4 6. 6
- For the following payoff table, what alternative should be chosen if you are following a Maximin strategy? alternative. yes. No small. 10. 30 Medium 20 40 medium Large 30 45 large 40 35 extra large 60 20 prior probability 0.3 0.7 a.Medium Large b.Medium c.Small d.Extra Large e.LargeSeneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the purpose of establishing a new vineyard. Management is considering two varieties of white grapes for the new vineyard: Chardonnay and Riesling. The Chardonnay grapes would be used to produce a dry Chardonnay wine, and the Riesling grapes would be used to produce a semidry Riesling wine. It takes approximately four years from the time of planting before new grapes can be harvested. This length of time creates a great deal of uncertainty concerning future demand and makes the decision concerning the type of grapes to plant difficult. Three possibilities are being considered: Chardonnay grapes only; Riesling grapes only; and both Chardonnay and Riesling grapes. Seneca management decided that for planning purposes it would be adequate to consider only two demand possibilities for each type of wine: strong or weak. With two possibilities for each type of wine it was necessary to assess four probabilities. With the help of some forecasts in…9. Dana is 30 years old and owns a wedding planning business. She takes care of all wedding events details from arranging flowers, tables, theme to catering food to a high standard. She has a good reputation in the market. Recently, she discovered another food catering company with wider varieties and lower prices that her customers will love to have. Thus, she decided to write a negative letter to the current catering company to inform them about terminating their business together. Dana has to plan her negative letter very carefully and to explain the needs of her customers: * A.to avoid responsibility for the message B.to improve future performance on the part of the sender C.to avoid adding a personal message to the recipient D.to gain control of the context of the message E.to minimize damage to the business relationship
- The question reads. A theater is presenting a program of drinking and driving for students and their parents or other responsible adults. The proceeds will be dontated to a local alcohol information center. Admission is $6.00 for adults and $3.00 for students. However this situation has two contraints. The theater can hold no more than 180 people and for every two adults, there must be at least one student. Hhow many adults and students shold attend to raise the maimum amount of money? What is the best way to work out this problem not using graphing. z=6x+3y contraints are x+y≤180 x-2y≤0Calculating outcomes as equally likely would BEST describe: O a. Maximax criterion O b. Laplace criterion O c. Regret criterion Od. Maximin criterion Determining the average payoff for each alternative and choosing the one with the BEST payoff is the approach called: ea, maximax O b. minimax regret O c. laplace Od maximin 2c. From the following decision tree, develop a payoff table and calculate: * Maximax, Minimax regret, Maximin, and EMV. ORs. 50,000 Good conditions (0.60) Poor conditions (0.40) -O Rs. 30,000 Apartment Building Good conditions (0.60) O Rs. 100,000 Office building Poor conditions (0.40) Purchase ORs -40,000 Warchouse Good conditions (0.60) Rs.30, 000 Poor conditions (0.40) O Rs. 10,000
- Problem 2: You go to the racetrack and are choosing between 2 horses: Belle and Jeb (you are at the racetrack, so you will bet on one of these two horses). Betting on either horse will cost you $1, and the payoffs are as follows: • Bet on Belle: you will be paid $2 if she wins (or a net profit of $1). You believe she has a 75% chance of winning. • Bet on Jeb: you will be paid $9 if he wins (for a net profit of $8). You believe that he has a 20% chance of winning. Prior to making your decision of which horse to bet on, someone comes and offers you gambler’s “insurance.” If you agree to the gamblers “insurance,” they pay you $1 immediately and you agree to pay them 50% of the profit on your winnings (that is, $0.50 if Belle wins, and $4 if Jeb wins). What should you do? Answer this question by: a) Creating a decision tree for this scenario, making sure you label all branches and include all probabilities and consequences. b) Solving the decision tree using EMV and stating the optimal…54|David is looking to purchase an old church building. He hires an appraiser to help determine the market value of the property. Why would the appraiser most likely value the property using the cost approach? O A church is a specialty building that will most likely not have any comparable properties. It is also not an income producing property, so the best method would be the cost approach. O The income capitalization approach should be used rather than the cost approach. O A church building will have at least three comparable properties to use to help determine the market value. O The church building will most likely have income, which when a capitalization rate is applied will help determine the market valueDAAPS A decision maker has prepared the following payoff table. 1 States of Nature Alternative High Low Buy 80 10 Rent 60 45 Lease 50 40 Using the Maximin criterion, what is the best decision and the expected payoff? Best decision Payoff