Question 4: Expected Value of Sample Information Assume that Tabuk Housing Corporation's management, in Question #1, is considering a market research study designed to learn more about potential market acceptance of the housing project. Management anticipates that the market research study will provide one of the following two results: 1. Favorable report: A significant number of the individuals' contacted express interest in the housing project. 2. Unfavorable report: Very few of the individuals' contacted express interest in the housing project. If the market research study is undertaken: P(Favorable report) = 0.9 P(Unfavorable report) = 0.1 If the market research report is favorable: P (Strong demand given a favorable report) = 0.7 P (Moderate demand given a favorable report) = 0.2 P (Weak demand given a favorable report)=0.1 If the market research report is unfavorable: P (Strong demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.2 P (Moderate demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.35 P (Weak demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.45 If the market research report is not undertaken, the prior probabilities are applicable: P (Strong demand)=0.5 P (Moderate demand) = 0.3 P (Weak demand)=0.2 Answer the Following Questions: D) Select the optimal decision strategy if the market research is unfavorable. E) Find the overall expected value for the optimal decision strategy. F) Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision strategy. G) How much are you willing to pay for the market research?

Marketing
20th Edition
ISBN:9780357033791
Author:Pride, William M
Publisher:Pride, William M
Chapter6: Target Markets: Segmentation And Evaluation
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 17DRQ: Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?
Question
Question 4: Expected Value of Sample Information
Assume that Tabuk Housing Corporation's management, in Question #1, is considering a market
research study designed to learn more about potential market acceptance of the housing project.
Management anticipates that the market research study will provide one of the following two
results:
1. Favorable report: A significant number of the individuals' contacted express interest in the
housing project.
2. Unfavorable report: Very few of the individuals' contacted express interest in the housing
project.
If the market research study is undertaken:
P(Favorable report) = 0.9
P(Unfavorable report) = 0.1
If the market research report is favorable:
P (Strong demand given a favorable report) = 0.7
P (Moderate demand given a favorable report) = 0.2
P (Weak demand given a favorable report)=0.1
If the market research report is unfavorable:
P (Strong demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.2
P (Moderate demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.35
P (Weak demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.45
If the market research report is not undertaken, the prior probabilities are applicable:
P (Strong demand)=0.5
P (Moderate demand) = 0.3
P (Weak demand)=0.2
Answer the Following Questions:
D) Select the optimal decision strategy if the market research is unfavorable.
E) Find the overall expected value for the optimal decision strategy.
F) Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision strategy.
G) How much are you willing to pay for the market research?
Transcribed Image Text:Question 4: Expected Value of Sample Information Assume that Tabuk Housing Corporation's management, in Question #1, is considering a market research study designed to learn more about potential market acceptance of the housing project. Management anticipates that the market research study will provide one of the following two results: 1. Favorable report: A significant number of the individuals' contacted express interest in the housing project. 2. Unfavorable report: Very few of the individuals' contacted express interest in the housing project. If the market research study is undertaken: P(Favorable report) = 0.9 P(Unfavorable report) = 0.1 If the market research report is favorable: P (Strong demand given a favorable report) = 0.7 P (Moderate demand given a favorable report) = 0.2 P (Weak demand given a favorable report)=0.1 If the market research report is unfavorable: P (Strong demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.2 P (Moderate demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.35 P (Weak demand given a unfavorable report) = 0.45 If the market research report is not undertaken, the prior probabilities are applicable: P (Strong demand)=0.5 P (Moderate demand) = 0.3 P (Weak demand)=0.2 Answer the Following Questions: D) Select the optimal decision strategy if the market research is unfavorable. E) Find the overall expected value for the optimal decision strategy. F) Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision strategy. G) How much are you willing to pay for the market research?
Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
Marketing
Marketing
Marketing
ISBN:
9780357033791
Author:
Pride, William M
Publisher:
South Western Educational Publishing