Consider the following decision tree. Which decision, A or B, is best? What is the expected value of this decision? .40 $3,000 1 A B .20 .80 3 OA, expected payoff = $2,000 OA, expected payoff = $2,120 OB, expected payoff = $1,800 OA, expected payoff = $2,100 4 .60 -$1,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,800

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 21P
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Consider the following decision tree. Which decision, A or B, is best? What is the expected value of this decision?
.40
$3,000
A
B
2
.20
.80
OA, expected payoff = $2,000
OA, expected payoff = $2,120
OB, expected payoff = $1,800
OA, expected payoff = $2,100
.60
-$1,000
$2,500
$2,000
$1,800
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following decision tree. Which decision, A or B, is best? What is the expected value of this decision? .40 $3,000 A B 2 .20 .80 OA, expected payoff = $2,000 OA, expected payoff = $2,120 OB, expected payoff = $1,800 OA, expected payoff = $2,100 .60 -$1,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,800
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