Explain why it's important to keep track of forecasting errors.
Q: Explain the benefits does exponential smoothing have over moving avarages as a forecasting tool ?
A: While in Moving Averages the previous perceptions are weighted similarly, Exponential Smoothing…
Q: What tool should we use to know whether our forecasting was under forecasted or over forcasted? Is…
A: This question is related to forecasting, we use several tools or parameters to check Bias, accuracy…
Q: Which is better forecasting or benchmarking? Be practical.
A: Manufacturing is the process of converting raw inputs into finished products and services for the…
Q: What are the use of a time series forecasting and what assumption are made ?
A: Globalization is the process of contact and connection between people, businesses, and governments…
Q: Explain the word "false" for a successful forecast?
A: A difference between real and forecasted values is referred to as "fake" in forecasting strategies.…
Q: Give three example of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Deceptive conduct is an activity that falls outside of what is considered ethically right or…
Q: 12. Under the bottom-up approach, a central person or persons take the responsibility for…
A: The method of predicting future outcomes based on past and present data by analyzing the trends is…
Q: a) Using exponential smoothing and given a, the forecast for the month of July =million checks…
A: Below is the solution
Q: What are the benefits of exponential smoothing over moving average forecasting?
A: The following are the advantages of exponential smoothing over moving averages as a forecasting…
Q: subject: strategic management What are some of the issues and danger in forecasting? Cite…
A: The methods and procedures used to forecast company events such as sales, expenditures, and profits…
Q: What is the connection between forecasting and quality control?
A: TQM can be thought of as a control framework for a client organisation that actively promotes…
Q: Think of an industry or company other than automotive that relies heavily on forecasting accuracy.…
A: Forecasting is completely based on past data, unlike predictions that are based on instinct, or…
Q: State when is the time series forecasting is used ?
A: Forecasting is a process that utilizes historical information and reports to forecast future events.
Q: Why is forecasting necessary in OSCM?
A: Forecasting is the method of making future forecasts based on historical and current evidence. It's…
Q: b) What is this year's forecast using a three-year weighted moving average with weights of 0.5, 0.3,…
A: The concept of Operation Management: Operation management is the management that applies to a…
Q: Explain the forecasting term with the help of least squares ?
A: Least Squares Method The least squares technique is a type of mathematical regression analysis that…
Q: What advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: A moving average forecast method takes into account instead of the last actual data, a number of…
Q: Why is accurate forecasting so important to companies thatuse a continuous replenishment inventory…
A: Continuous Replenishment is a method by which a supplier is told day by day of real deals or…
Q: How does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the forecast?
A: A moving average forecast method takes into account instead of the last actual data, a number of…
Q: Several business periodicals often carry reports of companies that may not have met their sales and…
A: Periodicals are a category of serial publications with a series of articles. They are published…
Q: How can the Forecast technique be improved?
A: Forecasting is a tool or technique which is used to predict future demand, risk and to analyze the…
Q: Explain how can does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the…
A: Moving Average (MA) forecasting calculates the average over a certain number of periods in order to…
Q: what are the benefits of exponential smoothing forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: What forecasting technique makes use of written surveys or telephone interviews?
A: Ans- Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present…
Q: What can a business do to address the issue of forecasting inaccuracy ?
A: Predicting final demand is a critical role of the supply chain. Numerous businesses are unaware of…
Q: Give three examples of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Forecasting is the planning process that helps to predict the future demand using present or past…
Q: How has the technology had an impact on forecasting?
A: Technology plays an important role in forecasting and has the ability to have a huge impact. We will…
Q: What is the role of the POS system in forecasting at HardRock?
A: Hard Rock is mainly used to collect data about every person who walks through a Hard Rock cafe's…
Q: snip
A: The quantitative forecasting techniques require the past relevant data, the absence of this makes…
Q: Can you tell the difference between "correct" and "true" when it comes to forecasting?
A: Forecasting is important in supply chain management because the production and inventory process of…
Q: Justify the trade-off between responsiveness and consistency in a time-series forecasting system.
A: TradeoffTradeoff is a situational decision taken approach, that involves diminishing quality,…
Q: Can you either overestimate or underestimate the actual sales number for a poor forecast?
A: A forecast is a foresight of whatever will occur. While usually practiced in the circumstances of…
Q: What is 'forecasting error'? What are the metrics used in measuring forecasting errors?
A: Forecasting Error A prediction error is the difference between the actual or real value of a time…
Q: You have quarterly training data on beer production From 2006 to the end of 2007. Use the average…
A: Forecasting is a technique used to predict future outcomes on the basis of past data. In businesses…
Q: Explain the analytical tools and methods used in forecasting ?
A: Many statistical techniques are used to examine the data, which helps to summarize data first from…
Q: Forecasting follows seven basic steps. What are they?
A: Forecasting is a tool that allows educated predictions using historical data as inputs that are…
Q: State and describe the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: To be determined: the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explains…
Q: State examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate seasonality in their…
A: To be determined: examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate…
Q: What is the strategic importance of forecasting for a business such as One Stop Car Repairs? What…
A: Forecasting is a technique that uses historical data as inputs to make estimates that are predictive…
Q: How can you evaluate the accuracy of a forecast model? explain in detail
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?What forecasting techniques are used in the management of technology and innovation?
- The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?The owner of a restaurant in Bloomington, Indiana, has recorded sales data for the past 19 years. He has also recorded data on potentially relevant variables. The data are listed in the file P13_17.xlsx. a. Estimate a simple regression equation involving annual sales (the dependent variable) and the size of the population residing within 10 miles of the restaurant (the explanatory variable). Interpret R-square for this regression. b. Add another explanatory variableannual advertising expendituresto the regression equation in part a. Estimate and interpret this expanded equation. How does the R-square value for this multiple regression equation compare to that of the simple regression equation estimated in part a? Explain any difference between the two R-square values. How can you use the adjusted R-squares for a comparison of the two equations? c. Add one more explanatory variable to the multiple regression equation estimated in part b. In particular, estimate and interpret the coefficients of a multiple regression equation that includes the previous years advertising expenditure. How does the inclusion of this third explanatory variable affect the R-square, compared to the corresponding values for the equation of part b? Explain any changes in this value. What does the adjusted R-square for the new equation tell you?