Recall that Benford's Law claims that numbers chosen from very large data files tend to have "1" as the first nonzero digit disproportionately often. In fact, research has shown that if you randomly draw a number from a very large data file, the probability of getting a number with "1" as the leading digit is about 0.306. Now suppose you are an auditor for a very large corporation. The revenue report involves millions of numbers in a large computer file. Let us say you took a random sample of n = 219 numerical entries from the file and r = 49 of the entries had a first nonzero digit of 1. Let p represent the population proportion of all numbers in the corporate file that have a first nonzero digit of 1. Test the claim that p is less than 0.306. Use ? = 0.05.   (a) What is the level of significance? State the null hypothesis  H0  and the alternate hypothesis  H1 . H0 : p          H1 : p          (b) What sampling distribution will you use? The Student's tThe standard normal     since np                and nq                What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to two decimal places.) (c) Find the P-value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to the P-value.         (d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level ?? At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.    At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. (e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application. There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that the true proportion of numbers with a leading 1 in the revenue file is less than 0.306.There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that the true proportion of numbers with a leading 1 in the revenue file is less than 0.306

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter1: Functions
Section1.EA: Extended Application Using Extrapolation To Predict Life Expectancy
Problem 7EA
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Recall that Benford's Law claims that numbers chosen from very large data files tend to have "1" as the first nonzero digit disproportionately often. In fact, research has shown that if you randomly draw a number from a very large data file, the probability of getting a number with "1" as the leading digit is about 0.306. Now suppose you are an auditor for a very large corporation. The revenue report involves millions of numbers in a large computer file. Let us say you took a random sample of n = 219 numerical entries from the file and r = 49 of the entries had a first nonzero digit of 1. Let p represent the population proportion of all numbers in the corporate file that have a first nonzero digit of 1.

Test the claim that p is less than 0.306. Use ? = 0.05.

 
(a) What is the level of significance?


State the null hypothesis 
H0
 and the alternate hypothesis 
H1
.

H0
p         

H1
p         

(b) What sampling distribution will you use?
The Student's tThe standard normal    
since np               

and nq               

What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)


(c) Find the P-value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to the P-value.
   
   

(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level ??
At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.    At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.

(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that the true proportion of numbers with a leading 1 in the revenue file is less than 0.306.There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that the true proportion of numbers with a leading 1 in the revenue file is less than 0.306
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