Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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Chapter 6, Problem 45P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The way to maximize the revenue.
Introduction: The variation between the present value of the
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$100 $140
Cases
B3
Probability
event F happens
event F does not happen $140 $100
0.5
0.5
and
Payoff from investing $100 in BỊ
Cases
В
Probability
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event G happens
event G does not happen $140
0.5
0.5
Chapter 6 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 1PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 2PCh. 6.3 - Solve Problem 1 with the extra assumption that the...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 6PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 8PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 9PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 12PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 16PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 17PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 18PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 19PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 20PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 21PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 22PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 23PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 24PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 25PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 26PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 28PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 29PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 30PCh. 6.5 - In the optimal solution to the Green Grass...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 32PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 33PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 34PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 35PCh. 6.6 - Prob. 36PCh. 6.6 - Prob. 37PCh. 6.6 - Prob. 38PCh. 6 - Prob. 39PCh. 6 - Prob. 40PCh. 6 - Prob. 41PCh. 6 - Prob. 42PCh. 6 - Prob. 43PCh. 6 - Prob. 44PCh. 6 - Prob. 45PCh. 6 - Prob. 46PCh. 6 - Prob. 47PCh. 6 - Prob. 48PCh. 6 - Prob. 49PCh. 6 - Prob. 50PCh. 6 - Prob. 51PCh. 6 - Prob. 52PCh. 6 - Prob. 53PCh. 6 - Prob. 54PCh. 6 - Prob. 55PCh. 6 - Prob. 56PCh. 6 - Prob. 57PCh. 6 - Prob. 58PCh. 6 - Prob. 59PCh. 6 - Prob. 60PCh. 6 - Prob. 61PCh. 6 - Prob. 62PCh. 6 - Prob. 63PCh. 6 - Prob. 64PCh. 6 - Prob. 65PCh. 6 - Prob. 66PCh. 6 - Prob. 67PCh. 6 - Prob. 68PCh. 6 - Prob. 69PCh. 6 - Prob. 70PCh. 6 - Prob. 71PCh. 6 - Prob. 72PCh. 6 - Prob. 73PCh. 6 - Prob. 74PCh. 6 - Prob. 75PCh. 6 - Prob. 76PCh. 6 - Prob. 77PCh. 6 - Prob. 78PCh. 6 - Prob. 79PCh. 6 - Prob. 80PCh. 6 - Prob. 81PCh. 6 - Prob. 82PCh. 6 - Prob. 83PCh. 6 - Prob. 84PCh. 6 - Prob. 85PCh. 6 - Prob. 86PCh. 6 - Prob. 87PCh. 6 - Prob. 88PCh. 6 - Prob. 89PCh. 6 - Prob. 90PCh. 6 - Prob. 91PCh. 6 - Prob. 92PCh. 6 - This problem is based on Motorolas online method...Ch. 6 - Prob. 94PCh. 6 - Prob. 95PCh. 6 - Prob. 96PCh. 6 - Prob. 97PCh. 6 - Prob. 98PCh. 6 - Prob. 99PCh. 6 - Prob. 100PCh. 6 - Prob. 1CCh. 6 - Prob. 2CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.1CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.2CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.3CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.4CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.5CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.6C
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- In the financial world, there are many types of complex instruments called derivatives that derive their value from the value of an underlying asset. Consider the following simple derivative. A stocks current price is 80 per share. You purchase a derivative whose value to you becomes known a month from now. Specifically, let P be the price of the stock in a month. If P is between 75 and 85, the derivative is worth nothing to you. If P is less than 75, the derivative results in a loss of 100(75-P) dollars to you. (The factor of 100 is because many derivatives involve 100 shares.) If P is greater than 85, the derivative results in a gain of 100(P-85) dollars to you. Assume that the distribution of the change in the stock price from now to a month from now is normally distributed with mean 1 and standard deviation 8. Let EMV be the expected gain/loss from this derivative. It is a weighted average of all the possible losses and gains, weighted by their likelihoods. (Of course, any loss should be expressed as a negative number. For example, a loss of 1500 should be expressed as -1500.) Unfortunately, this is a difficult probability calculation, but EMV can be estimated by an @RISK simulation. Perform this simulation with at least 1000 iterations. What is your best estimate of EMV?arrow_forwardSuppose you currently have a portfolio of three stocks, A, B, and C. You own 500 shares of A, 300 of B, and 1000 of C. The current share prices are 42.76, 81.33, and, 58.22, respectively. You plan to hold this portfolio for at least a year. During the coming year, economists have predicted that the national economy will be awful, stable, or great with probabilities 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3. Given the state of the economy, the returns (one-year percentage changes) of the three stocks are independent and normally distributed. However, the means and standard deviations of these returns depend on the state of the economy, as indicated in the file P11_23.xlsx. a. Use @RISK to simulate the value of the portfolio and the portfolio return in the next year. How likely is it that you will have a negative return? How likely is it that you will have a return of at least 25%? b. Suppose you had a crystal ball where you could predict the state of the economy with certainty. The stock returns would still be uncertain, but you would know whether your means and standard deviations come from row 6, 7, or 8 of the P11_23.xlsx file. If you learn, with certainty, that the economy is going to be great in the next year, run the appropriate simulation to answer the same questions as in part a. Repeat this if you learn that the economy is going to be awful. How do these results compare with those in part a?arrow_forwardA European put option allows an investor to sell a share of stock at the exercise price on the exercise data. For example, if the exercise price is 48, and the stock price is 45 on the exercise date, the investor can sell the stock for 48 and then immediately buy it back (that is, cover his position) for 45, making 3 profit. But if the stock price on the exercise date is greater than the exercise price, the option is worthless at that date. So for a put, the investor is hoping that the price of the stock decreases. Using the same parameters as in Example 11.7, find a fair price for a European put option. (Note: As discussed in the text, an actual put option is usually for 100 shares.)arrow_forward
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