A decision maker is faced with a choice between two projects, both of which have start-up costs in thefirst year of $150m and project closing costs of $20m in year 5. Project A is expected to generate netreturns of $10m, $20m, $50m and $200m from year 2 to year 5 respectively. Project B is expected togenerate net returns of $100m, $80m, $50m, and $20m for year 2 to year 5 respectively.a) Show whether these projects are viable at discount rates of 1% and 10%.b) Show which project is preferred at 1% and which at 10%.c) Offer an intuitive explanation for your preferences at different interest ratesd) If these are public sector projects, state two other considerations that could affect the choice ofthe project.

The question is related to Capital Budgeting. The details of two projects are given. We will…

Answered: A decision maker is faced with a choice…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 46P

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The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.
Haya International are considering a project that is susceptible to risk. An initial investment of OMR90,000 will be followed by four years each with the following ‘most likely’ cash flows (there is no inflation or tax): OMR OMR Annual Sales 400,000 (volume of 100,000 units multiplied by estimated sales price of OMR 4) Annual Costs Labour 200,000 Materials 40,000 Other 10,000 250,000 (250,000) 150,000 The initial investment consists of OMR80,000 in machines, which have a zero scrap value at the end of the four-year life of the project and OMR10,000 in additional working capital which is recoverable at the end. The discount rate is 10 per cent. Required : Calculate the NPV and show the sensitivity of NPV to changes in the following: Increase in sales price by 10%; Decrease in discount rate by 10%
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A group of developers is opening a health club near a new housing development. The health club—which will have exercise and workout equipment, basketball courts, swimming pools, an indoor walking/running track, and tennis courts—is one of the amenities thedevelopers are building to attract new homebuyers. However, they want the health club to at least break even the first year or two. The annual fixed cost for the building, equipment, utilities, staff, and so on is $875,000, and annual variable costs are $200 per member for things like water, towels, laundry, soap, shampoo, and other member services. The membership fee is $225 per month. How many members will the club need to break even? If the club doubles its break-even membership after a year, what will its profit be?
Today’s Electronics specializes in manufacturing modern electronic components. It also builds the equipment that produces the components. Phyllis Weinberger, who is responsible for advising the president of Today’s Electronics on electronic manufacturing equipment, has developed the following table concerning a proposed facility: Payoffs Outcomes Large facility 550,000 -310,000 Medium-sized facility 300,000 -100,000 Small facility 200,000 -32,000 No facility 0 0 Develop an opportunity loss table. What is the minimax regret decision? Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.
A builder has located a piece of property that she would like to buy and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities: Cost of land: $2 million. Probability of rezoning: 0.60. If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,500 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 70 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 30 percent chance that she can sell it to an…
A builder has located a piece of property that she would like to buy and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities: Cost of land: $3 million. Probability of rezoning: 0.50. If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on, of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,400 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 50 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $6 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 50 percent chance that she can sell it…
A builder has located a piece of property that she would like to buy and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities: Cost of land: $3 million. Probability of rezoning: 0.30. If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on, of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,100 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 70 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 30 percent chance that she can sell it to an…
depends on interest rate movement in the next 5 years. The various development projects and 8. Place-Plus, a real estate development firm, is considering several alternative development a projects. These include building and leasing building an office park, purchasing a parcel of land and an office building to rent, buying anmd leasing a warchouse, building a strip shopping ter, and building and selling condominiums. The financial success of these projects meir 5 year financial return (MU millions) given that interest rates will decline, remain stable or increase are shown in the following payoff table: Interest Rates Projects Office Park OfficeBuilding We Shopping Center Condominiums Decline Stable Increase 0.5 1.7 4.5 1.5 1.9 2.4 1.7 1.4 0.7 2.4 3.6 3.2 1.5 0.6 Determine the best investment using the following decision criteria: a. Maximax b. Maximin c. Minimax regret d. Equally Likely e. Hurwicz (a 0.3)
n additional equipment (AE) costing$3,500,000 will be needed at the end of year 3. At the end of seven(7) years, the original equipment, IE, will have no resale value butthe supplementary equipment, AE, can be sold for $50,000. A workingcapital of $1,350,000 will be needed.The project is forecast to generate sales of agri-products over theseven years as follows:Year 1 70,000 unitsYear 2 100,000 unitsYears 3-5 250,000 unitsYears 6-7 325,000 unitsA sale price of $150 per unit for the first two years is expected andthen decline to $90 per unit thereafter as the newness of the productloses some sheen. The variable expenses will amount to 30% of salesrevenue. Fixed cash operating expenses will amount to $1,100,000 peryear.The company falls in the 25% tax category for ordinary income and 40%tax category for capital gain.The initial equipment is depreciated as per the 7-year MACRS systemand the additional equipment is depreciated on a straight-line basis.In the event of a negative taxable…
Jody of Jody’s Custom Tailoring is considering expanding her growing business. The question is whether to expand with a bigger facility than she needs or with a small facility, knowing that she will have to reconsider expanding in three years. Jody has estimated the following chances for demand: The likelihood of demand being high is 0.50. The likelihood of demand being low is 0.50. She has also estimated profits for each alternative: Large expansion has an estimated profitability of either $200,000 or $100,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low. Small expansion has a profitability of $80,000, assuming that demand is low. Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the business expands at that point, the profitability is expected to be $120,000. If it does not expand further, the profitability is expected to be $70,000. Draw a decision tree and solve it. What should Jody’s Custom Tailoring do?

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